Open Season 12-1-2006

A sneak preview of 2007’s hotel debuts

Rendering of the W ScottsdaleComing in 2007:
The 225-room
W Scottsdale (Ariz.)
Hotel and Residences

Hotel chains are flush with dollars, thanks to hefty profits in the last several years, and they are investing heavily in their brands. Performance figures have yet to be tallied for the U.S. lodging industry for 2006, but there is no question that it will be another year of solid returns like 2005, when hotels racked up $22.6 billion in profits. That spells good news for travelers, because much of that money is being invested in expanding portfolios, particularly internationally, in an effort to introduce new brands and attract new customers.

On the other hand, between 2003 and year-end 2005, new U.S. hotel room inventory grew by a paltry 1.9 percent, according to Atlanta-based PKF Consulting. Worse, little of that new supply was in the full-service meeting hotel category. That lodging shortage meant big headaches for meeting planners, who already were battling rising occupancy levels in every major meetings destination.

That scenario does promises to change, but slowly. By the end of this year, 26 new full-service hotels will have opened. That number, says Portsmouth, N.H.-based real estate specialist Lodging Econometrics, is expected to jump to 35 in 2007 and to 52 in 2008. “The meeting hotel segment -- the type with large meeting facilities that we term ‘upper upscale’ -- is one of the slowest in the industry with regard to growth,” says Patrick Ford, president. “These properties are very expensive to build because they require large parcels of land, and construction costs are going through the roof, which is why the pipeline has not had a lot of activity.”

The destinations with the largest full-service pipeline, says Ford, are those experiencing new development, such as the expansion of a convention center or urban revival. He cites Washington, D.C., as an example. “The new convention center spawned a lot of new full-service hotel development,” he notes. “When a city has development like that, the larger hotel activity moves forward with it.”

For developers and investors, though, year-over-year rising occupancy levels and skyrocketing room rates, coupled with huge profit margins for the lodging industry, has turned hotel real estate into a very attractive market, making it the most aggressive with regard to real estate investment. According to Steve Rushmore, president of New York City-based HVS Hospitality Consulting, U.S. full-service hotel sales will total more than $30 billion by year’s end, up from $21 billion in 2005.

Cities with the healthiest pipelines include Atlanta, Las Vegas, Nashville, New York City, Orlando, Philadelphia, San Diego and the suburbs of Virginia surrounding Washington, D.C. Leading the pack is Las Vegas, which currently has 152,000 rooms in service. Developers there are now pursuing projects totaling 48,000 new rooms, estimated to come to market by year-end 2010. Behind Sin City is Orlando, with 15,000 new rooms expected to come online.

To create a snapshot of some of the new full-service properties making their debut in 2007, M&C researched hotel project announcements and verified their facility specifications and opening dates. The findings (see “Charting the U.S. Hotel Pipeline,” page 56) show confirmed hotel projects with 10,000 or more square feet of meeting space debuting by year-end 2007.

Global growth

U.S. hotel chains are aggressively pursuing growth opportunities in Europe as well as rapidly emerging markets such as Asia-Pacific, India, the Middle East and Russia. Following are highlights of developments around the world.

Asia-Pacific is hot. There currently are 656 hotel projects in the Asian pipeline, totaling 169,691 guest rooms, with the average property featuring 259 rooms. Of the 656 properties, 371 are now under construction, according to a report released in October by Lodging Econometrics.

China leads the development pipeline with 316 confirmed projects on the books, 63 percent of the total Asian pipeline. More than half of those are under construction. Places with the most activity include Beijing, Macau and Shanghai. Another six key business centers, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Ningbo, Sanya, Shenzhen and Tianjin, have a total of 66 projects in the pipeline.

U.S. chains investing heavily in expansion into Asia include Beverly Hills, Calif.-based Hilton Hotels Corp.; Atlanta-based InterContinental Hotels Group; Washington, D.C.-based Marriott International; and White Plains, N.Y.-based Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide.

According to a September 2006 report by PricewaterhouseCoopers’ United Kingdom division, InterContinental and Marriott plan to add nearly 18,000 new rooms in China alone over the next three years. By 2010, the luxury Ritz-Carlton Hotel Co. will add nine more properties in Asia, six of which will be in China.

At a recent lodging conference, Hilton’s chief executive officer, Stephen Bollenbach, said the chain hoped to have “100-plus hotels in China in the next three to five years.” As such, he added, Hilton actively is pursuing a partnership opportunity in the region that would allow it to manage, rather than own, new projects.

Hilton already has two signed management contracts in Beijing to bring the first Conrad hotel, as well as the first Scandic by Hilton outside of Europe, to China. Raymond Johnson, chairman of Phoenix-based Best Western International, says 85 percent of his brand’s future investment will be in Thailand and Taiwan, specifically in major business hubs and resort areas.

InterContinental Hotels Group, which opened its first property in China in 1984, opened its 58th Holiday Inn in that country, the 780-room Holiday Inn Century City Chengdu, in August. In a statement regarding the company’s aggressive expansion into the region, Edmond Ip, chief operating officer, North Asia, said, “China is a key market for InterContinental Hotels Group and where a signification portion of our expansion strategy will be carried out.” IHG plans to double its presence in China in time for the 2008 Beijing Olympics.

India is poised to take off. India has a significant hotel room shortage. At year-end 2005, the total room count for the country was just 92,000. But a surging economy, powered by the increase in U.S. firms outsourcing their computer support centers to the country, is making India an attractive destination for international hotel chains. There currently are 161 properties in the pipeline, a large number of which are economy brands designed for the Indian business traveler.

U.S. chains, as well, see a potential to stake their flag. In February 2006, Starwood opened a sales office in New Delhi as part of its plan to expand both Le M}ridien (which it acquired in November 2005) and Westin in the region. There are now eight Le M}ridien hotels in India, while the first Westin is on track to open late in 2007, in New Delhi. In addition, Starwood says it plans to bring Four Points by Sheraton and its “aloft” brand to the country. Marriott, which has seven properties in India, will open the 308-room JW Marriott Hotel Bangalore and another five properties in the country by year-end 2008.

Limited service is migrating to Europe. In September 2006, Marriott opened its first new Courtyard by Marriott European prototype in Paris and announced plans to open another 50 in the next five years in Europe, primarily in the United Kingdom. Likewise, Hilton Hotels Corp. began expansion of its limited-service brand, Hilton Garden Inn, in Europe. In November, the 121-room Hilton Garden Inn Florence in Italy opened for business. Scheduled to open by year’s end is the 282-room Hilton Garden Inn Rome. Currently under construction in Germany is the Hilton Garden Inn Frankfurt, which is expected to open in 2007, and a deal has been signed to build one in Stuttgart.

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